Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.328003 0.389202 0.457561 0.539420 0.634616 0.741659 0.870975
2025-02-02 0.262476 0.348977 0.455852 0.596879 0.777263 0.999364 1.292553
2025-02-09 0.214849 0.310781 0.438421 0.619126 0.866536 1.191286 1.647299
2025-02-16 0.173837 0.270234 0.406810 0.611930 0.909090 1.320201 1.927274
2025-02-23 0.140204 0.232619 0.371160 0.590473 0.924437 1.408211 2.154495
2025-03-02 0.113223 0.199605 0.336052 0.562742 0.923978 1.469470 2.344630
2025-03-09 0.101400 0.188461 0.332349 0.581544 0.994337 1.640040 2.710798
2025-03-16 0.084677 0.166019 0.306722 0.560735 0.998014 1.706216 2.919350
2025-03-23 0.076285 0.156837 0.301903 0.573523 1.057086 1.864238 3.286173
2025-03-30 0.068759 0.147959 0.296189 0.583526 1.111566 2.018317 3.658169
2025-04-06 0.060358 0.135951 0.282969 0.577927 1.137208 2.124709 3.956963
2025-04-13 0.053130 0.125105 0.270385 0.571668 1.160316 2.227591 4.256615
2025-04-20 0.049294 0.121151 0.271463 0.593192 1.239939 2.442329 4.781205
2025-04-27 0.049589 0.126442 0.292184 0.656612 1.407075 2.832106 5.657972
2025-05-04 0.046298 0.122941 0.293868 0.680927 1.499209 3.089095 6.308251
2025-05-11 0.040890 0.113435 0.281153 0.673070 1.525077 3.221181 6.731677
2025-05-18 0.035145 0.102014 0.262452 0.649639 1.515676 3.282759 7.022392
2025-05-25 0.029794 0.090565 0.241950 0.619348 1.487932 3.304375 7.234399
2025-06-01 0.028018 0.088387 0.243371 0.639887 1.573404 3.564034 7.946694
2025-06-08 0.024191 0.079739 0.227492 0.617155 1.559119 3.613725 8.229516
2025-06-15 0.022569 0.077163 0.226712 0.631126 1.630241 3.850281 8.920696
2025-06-22 0.020959 0.074319 0.224825 0.642052 1.695154 4.078164 9.609497
2025-06-29 0.018830 0.069439 0.216718 0.635937 1.718419 4.215560 10.111506